Igcine ukubuyekezwa ngoSepthemba 7, 2022 ngo-12:56 pm
Lapha ungabona ngeGlobal Steel Industry. I-China yaqhubeka nokuba yi- umkhiqizi omkhulu wensimbi emhlabeni ngokwanda kwe ukukhiqizwa ngo-8.3% ukuze kufinyelele ku-996 MnT. I-China ibe nesandla ku-53% wokukhiqizwa kwensimbi engahluziwe emhlabeni wonke ngo-2019.
Imboni Yensimbi Yomhlaba Wonke
Ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi engahluziwe emhlabeni wonke ngo-2019 kukhule ngo-3.4% ngonyaka wezi-2018 kwaze kwafinyelela ku-1,869.69 MnT. Lokhu kwanda kudalwe ngokuyinhloko ukukhula kokusetshenziswa kwensimbi emikhakheni yengqalasizinda, ezokukhiqiza kanye nemishini.
Ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto kwehle emazweni amaningi engxenyeni yesibili yonyaka wezi-2019 okube nomthelela esidingweni sensimbi ngasekupheleni konyaka.
Nakuba isidingo sensimbi sisalokhu siqinile, izwe labhekana nezingozi ezinkulu ngenxa yokungaqiniseki okubanzi komhlaba wonke kanye nemvelo eqinile.
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E-United States, ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi engahluziwe kukhuphuke kwafinyelela ku-88 MnT, okuqophe ukwenyuka ngo-1.5% ngonyaka wezi-2018, ngenxa yokwehlisa ukukhiqizwa kwezimoto emhlabeni wonke kanye nokungezwani kwezohwebo.
E-Japan, ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi kwehle kakhulu ngenxa yokwehla kwezinga lokukhiqiza phakathi no-2019. Izwe likhiqize i-99 MnT yensimbi engahluziwe ngonyaka odlule, ukwehla ngo-4.8% uma kuqhathaniswa no-2018.
E-Europe, ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi engahluziwe kwehle kwafinyelela ku-159 MnT ngo-2019, okuqopha ukwehla.
ngama-4.9% ngonyaka wezi-2018. Lokhu kuncipha kube ngenxa yezinselelo ezibhekene nokushoda kwempahla nokuhwebelana.
Ngo-2019, i-India yaba izwe lesibili ngobukhulu emhlabeni elikhiqiza insimbi engahluziwe, ngokukhiqizwa kwensimbi engahluziwe okungu-111 MnT, okuwukunyuka ngo-1.8% kunonyaka odlule. Nokho, izinga lokukhula beliphansi kakhulu uma liqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule.
Ukukhula emkhakheni wezokwakha kuye kwaba buthaka ngenxa yokuwa kwezimali ezitshaliwe ekwakhiweni kwempahla engashintshi. Ukwehla okukhulu kokusetshenziswa kwangasese kuholele ekukhuleni okubuthakathaka kwezimoto ezihlala isikhathi eside kanye nabathengi.
Izimo eziqinile zemalimboleko ngenxa yokungakhokhi kahle emkhakheni we-NBFC zibe nomthelela ekutholakaleni kwesikweletu embonini yensimbi nensimbi.
Umkhakha wezimoto uphinde wathintwa yizici ezifana nezinguquko zemithetho, ukukhuphuka kwezindleko zobunikazi, nokwabelana komnotho ngenkathi, umkhakha wezimpahla ezinkulu uqhubekile nokuba buthaka ngenxa yokwehla komkhiqizo kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali okumile emkhakheni wezokukhiqiza.
I-Outlook yemboni yensimbi
Umqedazwe we-COVID-19 uthinte kakhulu ezomnotho nezimboni emhlabeni jikelele futhi imboni yensimbi iyafana. Nansi i-Global Steel Industry Outlook
Ngakho-ke, umbono wemboni yensimbi uhlanganisa izimo eziphathelene nesivinini sokubhebhetheka kwalolu bhubhane, ukuphindeka okungenzeka, umthelela wesikhathi esiseduze wezinyathelo ezithathwayo zokuqukethe lokhu kuqubuka, kanye nokusebenza kahle kwesikhuthazo esimenyezelwe oHulumeni bezizwe ezahlukahlukene.
I-Global Steel Industry Outlook: Ngemuva kokukhula okuhamba kancane kunalokho obekulindelwe ngo-2019, isidingo sensimbi silinganiselwa ukuthi sizonkontileka kakhulu onyakeni Wezezimali ka-2020-21. Ngokusho kwe-World Steel Association ('WSA'), kungenzeka ukuthi umthelela esidingweni sensimbi maqondana nokufinyezwa okulindelekile I-GDP ingase ibonakale imbi kakhulu kunaleyo eyabonwa ngesikhathi senhlekelele yezimali emhlabeni jikelele.
Uma kuqhathaniswa neminye imikhakha, umkhakha wezokukhiqiza kulindeleke ukuthi uphinde ubuyele emuva ngokushesha nakuba ukuphazamiseka kwe-supply chain kungenzeka kuqhubeke. Iningi lezifunda ezikhiqiza insimbi kulindeleke ukuthi libone ukwehla kokuphuma kwensimbi engahluziwe ngenxa yokuncishiswa kokukhiqiza phakathi nokuvalwa okuqhubekayo.
I-Global Steel Industry Outlook Nokho, kulindeleke ukuthi uma kuqhathaniswa namanye amazwe, i-China izoshesha ukuya ekwenzeni umsebenzi wezomnotho ube ujwayelekile njengoba bekuyizwe lokuqala ukuphuma enkingeni ye-COVID-19.
Ohulumeni bamazwe ahlukahlukene bamemezele amaphakeji amakhulu wokuvuselela
okulindeleke ukuthi zivune ukusetshenziswa kwensimbi ngokutshalwa kwezimali kwingqalasizinda kanye nezinye izikhuthazo zemboni yensimbi.
I-Global Steel Industry Outlook E-India, isidingo esithulisiwe kanye nokusatshalaliswa ngokweqile kungase kubangele ukucindezelwa kwentengo yensimbi kanye nokusetshenziswa kwamandla esikhathini esiseduze. Njengoba i-India incike kakhulu kubasebenzi bokufika, ukuqalisa kabusha amaphrojekthi wokwakha nengqalasizinda kuzoba inselele.
Isidingo esivela emikhakheni yengqalasizinda, yezokwakha, neyezindlu kungenzeka zehliswe engxenyeni yokuqala Yonyaka Wezimali ka-2020-21 ngenxa yokuvalwa kwendawo ngekota yokuqala okulandelwa yizimvula ezinkulu ngekota yesibili.
I-Global Steel Industry Outlook Ngaphezu kwalokho, isidingo esivela emikhakheni yezimoto, yezimpahla ezimhlophe, kanye nempahla enkulu kungenzeka sehle kakhulu njengoba abathengi behlehlisa ukusebenzisa ngokubona kwabo esikhathini esiseduze. Isikhuthazo sikahulumeni esisebenzayo kanye nokubuyisela ukuzethemba kwabathengi kungase kube umshayeli oyinhloko wokululama kancane kancane engxenyeni yesibili Yonyaka Wezimali ka-2020-21.
Imboni yensimbi yomhlaba wonke ibhekane nenselelo ye-CY 2019, njengoba ukukhula kwesidingo ezimakethe ezimbalwa kwaxazululwa kakhulu ukwehla emhlabeni wonke. Umnotho ongaqinisekile
imvelo, kuhambisana nokungezwani kwezentengiselwano okuqhubekayo, ukwehla kwezinga lokukhiqiza emhlabeni wonke ikakhulukazi umkhakha wezimoto kanye nokuqina kwezindaba ze-geopolitical, okukalwe ukutshalwa kwezimali nohwebo.
I-Global Steel Industry Outlook Ngokufanayo, ukukhula komkhiqizo kwabonakala kuphela e-Asia naseMpumalanga Ephakathi futhi ngokwezinga elithile e-US, kuyilapho umhlaba wonke ubone ukufinyela.
UKHIQIZWA KWEZINTSIMBI
Ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi engahluziwe emhlabeni wonke ku-CY 2019 kukhule ngo-3.4% yoy kuya ku-1,869.9 MnT.
Imboni yensimbi yomhlaba wonke ibhekane nengcindezi yentengo ezingxenyeni eziningi ze-CY 2019, ngemuva kwesimo semakethe esivikelayo kwezomnotho ezibalulekile, okuhlanganisa nokumiswa kweSigaba 232 e-US.
Lokhu kwaba kubi nakakhulu ngenxa yokwehla kwesidingo esiqondene nezwe, okwabhebhezela
ukungalingani kwemakethe. Ngokuhambisana nomuzwa wokuhweba olandelanayo, izimboni zabathengi bensimbi zenze umsebenzi wokukhipha imfuyo.
Lokhu kuholele ekuncipheni kokusetshenziswa kwamandla futhi kuholele ekutheni kube nomthamo oweqile emhlabeni jikelele. Lokhu kwaphinde kwanezelwa ngokwengezwa kwamakhono amasha futhi kwaholela ekwehleni kwengcindezi emananini ensimbi.
UBUYEKEZO EZIMKIKETHWENI EZINGUMQOKA
I-China: Ehamba phambili embonini yensimbi
Izinga lokufunwa kwamaShayina kanye namazinga okukhiqiza enza ngaphezu kwesigamu semboni yensimbi yomhlaba wonke, okwenza uhwebo lwensimbi lomhlaba luthembele kakhulu ekushayeleni izidingo zomnotho wezwe.
Ngo-CY 2019, i-China yakhiqiza i-996.3 MnT yensimbi engahluziwe, ekhuphuke ngo-8.3% yoy; isidingo semikhiqizo yensimbi eqediwe silinganiselwa ku-907.5 MnT, sikhuphuke ngo-8.6% ngonyaka.
Isidingo sensimbi sezindlu ezithengiswayo sahlala sishubile, ngenxa yokukhula okuqinile ezimakethe ze-Tier-II, Tier-III kanye ne-Tier-IV, eholwa izilawuli ezikhululekile. Kodwa-ke, ukukhula kuthengwe kancane ukusebenza komkhakha wezimoto okuthulisiwe.
I-EU28: Ukuhweba okuthulisiwe kodwa umbono omuhle
I-Eurozone yashaywa kanzima ku-CY 2019 ngenxa yokungaqiniseki kwezohwebo ngenxa yokwehla okukhulu kokukhiqizwa kwamaJalimane okuholwa ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe. Isidingo semikhiqizo yensimbi eqediwe sehle ngo-5.6% weminyaka, ngenxa yobuthakathaka emkhakheni wezimoto, owaxazululwa ngokwengxenye umkhakha wokwakha oqinile.
Ukukhiqizwa kwensimbi engahluziwe kwehle ngo-4.9% yaya ku-159.4 MnT isuka ku-167.7 MnT.
Imboni Yensimbi e-US: Ukukhula okuyisicaba
Isidingo semikhiqizo yensimbi eqediwe e-US sikhule ngo-1.0% yoy saya ku-100.8 MnT sisuka ku-99.8 MnT.
I-Japan: Ukufuna kancane phakathi kwezimpawu zokusimama kancane Naphezu kombuso omusha wentela yokuthengisa, umnotho wase-Japan kulindeleke ukuthi uthuthuke kancane kancane, usekelwe ukunciphisa inqubomgomo yezimali kanye nokutshalwa kwezimali komphakathi, okungenzeka kusekele ukukhula kokusetshenziswa kwensimbi esikhathini esifushane.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, umnotho waseJapan oqhutshwa ukuthekelisa kumele uzuze ekuxazululeni izingxabano zohwebo. Kodwa-ke, isidingo sonke sensimbi kulindeleke ukuthi sinciphe kancane,
ngenxa yesimo sezulu esintekenteke emhlabeni jikelele.
Isidingo semikhiqizo yensimbi eqediwe eJapan sehle ngo-1.4% saya ku-64.5 MnT ngo-CY 2019 sisuka ku-65.4 MnT.
UMBONO Womkhakha Wensimbi Womhlaba Wonke
I-World Steel Association (worldsteel) ibikezela ukuthi isidingo sensimbi sizokwehla ngo-6.4% siye ku-1,654 MnT ngo-CY 2020, ngenxa yomthelela we-COVID-19.
Kodwa-ke, iye yagomela ukuthi isidingo sensimbi somhlaba wonke singaphindela ku-1,717 MnT ku-CY 2021 futhi sifakazele ukukhuphuka okungu-3.8% njalo. Isidingo samaShayina kungenzeka silulame ngokushesha kunasemhlabeni wonke.
Isibikezelo sicabanga ukuthi izindlela zokuvala umnyango zizokwenyuswa ngoJuni nangoJulayi, njengoba kuqhubeka nokuncishiswa kwezenhlalo namazwe amakhulu enza insimbi engaboni lutho.
igagasi lobhubhane.
Isidingo sensimbi kulindeleke ukuthi sehle kakhulu emazweni amaningi, ikakhulukazi engxenyeni yesibili ye-CY 2020, nokululama kancane kancane kusuka kwikota yesithathu. Kodwa-ke, ubungozi besibikezelo zisalokhu zimbi njengoba ezomnotho ziphuma ngezigaba ekuvaleni, ngaphandle kokwelapha okuthile noma umuthi wokugomela i-COVID-19.
Isidingo sensimbi yamaShayina kulindeleke ukuthi sikhule ngo-1% yoy ku-CY 2020, ngombono ongcono we-CY 2021, njengoba kuyizwe lokuqala ukuphakamisa ukuvalwa (ngoFebhuwari.
2020). NgoMbasa, umkhakha wezokwakha wawusuzuze ukusetshenziswa kwamandla okungamaphesenti ayi-100.
Iminotho ethuthukile
Isidingo sensimbi kwezomnotho esethuthukile kulindeleke ukuthi sehle ngo-17.1% ngonyaka we-CY 2020, ngenxa yomthelela we-COVID-19 namabhizinisi alwela ukuhlala eqinile futhi ephezulu.
amazinga okungasebenzi.
Ngakho-ke, ukululama ku-CY 2021 kulindeleke ukuthi kuthuliswe ku-7.8% yoy. Ukutholwa kwesidingo sensimbi ezimakethe ze-EU kungenzeka kubambezeleke ngale kwe-CY 2020. Imakethe yase-US futhi kungenzeka ibone ukululama kancane ku-CY 2021.
Phakathi naleso sikhathi, Japanese kanye Korean isidingo sensimbi sizofakaza ukwehla kwamadijithi amabili ku-CY 2020, kanti iJapan ithintwa ukwehla kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kanye nokumiswa kokutshalwa kwezimali emikhakheni yezimoto nemishini, kanti i-Korea ithintwa ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe okuphansi kanye nezimboni zasekhaya ezibuthakathaka.
Umnotho othuthukayo (ngaphandle kwe-China)
Isidingo sensimbi emazweni asathuthuka ngaphandle kwe-China kulindeleke ukuthi sehle ngo-11.6% ku-CY 2020, kulandele ukululama ngo-9.2% ku-CY 2021.
