Kusinthidwa komaliza pa Seputembara 7, 2022 pa 12:55 pm
Msika wapadziko lonse wamankhwala, womwe ukuyembekezeka ku US $ 1.2 Trillion mu 2019, ukuyembekezeka kukula pa Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) ya 3-6% mpaka US $ 1.5-1.6 Trillion pofika 2024.
Zambiri mwa izi zikuyenera kuyendetsedwa ndi kukula kwa misika yazamalonda komanso kukhazikitsidwa kwazinthu zapamwamba zapamwamba m'misika yotukuka. Komabe, kukhwimitsa mitengo yonse komanso kutha kwa patent m'misika yotukuka kungathe kuchepetsa kukula uku.
Mawonekedwe, zotsatira zake ndi zomwe zikuchitika
Misika yaku US ndi yogulitsa mankhwala ikhalabe zigawo zikuluzikulu zamakampani azamankhwala padziko lonse lapansi - omwe kale anali chifukwa cha kukula, ndipo potsirizira pake chifukwa cha chiyembekezo chawo chakukula.
Kugwiritsa ntchito mankhwala ku US kukuyembekezeka kukula pa 3-6% CAGR pakati pa 2019 ndi 2024, kufikira US $ 605-635 Biliyoni pofika 2024, pomwe ndalama zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito m'misika yogulitsa, kuphatikiza China, zikuyenera kukula pa 5-8% CAGR. mpaka US $ 475-505 Biliyoni pofika 2024.
Kukula kwa Pharmaceutical Padziko Lonse
Madera awiriwa adzakhala othandizira kwambiri pakukula kwa mankhwala padziko lonse lapansi.
• Kugwiritsa ntchito mankhwala m'misika isanu yapamwamba yakumadzulo kwa Europe (WE5) kukuyembekezeka kukula pa 3-6% CAGR pakati pa 2019 ndi 2024 kufikira US $ 210-240 Biliyoni pofika 2024.
• Msika waku China waku US $ 142 Biliyoni wamankhwala ukuyembekezeka kukula pa 5-8% CAGR mpaka US $ 165-195 Biliyoni pofika 2024, pomwe kukwera kwa ndalama ku Japan pazamankhwala kukuyembekezeka kukhalabe ku US $ 88-98 Biliyoni pofika 2024.
Global Pharmaceutical Industry
Woyambitsa makampani mankhwala adzapitiriza kufufuza njira zatsopano zochiritsira ndi matekinoloje, monganso zinthu zotsogola kuti zithetse zosowa za odwala.
Cholinga chawo chachikulu pakufufuza chidzakhala immunology, oncology, biologics ndi ma cell ndi ma gene.
• Ndalama zapadziko lonse za R&D zikuyembekezeka kukula pa CAGR ya 3% pofika 2024, kutsika kuposa 4.2% pakati pa 2010 ndi 2018, motsogozedwa pang'ono ndi kuyang'ana kwamakampani pazowonetsa zing'onozing'ono, zotsika mtengo zachitukuko chachipatala.
• Ukadaulo wapa digito udzakhala mphamvu yosintha kwambiri pazaumoyo. Kupititsa patsogolo nzeru zopangapanga ndi kuphunzira pamakina kudzakhala ndi tanthauzo lofunikira mkati mwa sayansi ya data pakukhathamiritsa kupanga zisankho, kusamalira bwino zinsinsi za odwala, kugwiritsa ntchito moyenera ndikuwongolera ma seti ochulukirapo komanso ovuta.
• Ukadaulo wapa digito ukugwiritsiridwa ntchito kwambiri pa kulumikizana kwa odwala ndi dokotala pakadali pano popeza kuyankhulana maso ndi maso sikutheka chifukwa cha COVID-19. Zikuwonekerabe ngati izi zipitilira mu nthawi ya COVID-19.
• Chimodzi mwazinthu zodalirika kwambiri zopangira chidziwitso chachikulu cha odwala chikhala chidziwitso cha chibadwa, chifukwa chimathandizira kumvetsetsa chibadwa cha matenda ndi kuchiza matenda obwera chifukwa cha majini ndi njira zochiritsira zomwe zimatengera majini.
• Olipira (makampani obweza ndalama) akuyenera kupitiriza kuyesetsa kuchepetsa ndalama. Ngakhale njira zopititsa patsogolo mwayi wopeza zinthu zatsopano zotsika mtengo zikugwiridwa, kusungitsa ndalama kumakhalabe kofunika pamalingaliro a olipira m'misika yotukuka. Izi zidzathandiza kuchepetsa pang'onopang'ono pakukula kwathunthu kwa makampani mankhwala, makamaka m’misika yotukuka.
• M'misika yotukuka, padzakhala njira zatsopano zochizira matenda osowa kwambiri ndi khansa, ngakhale zitha kukhala zokwera mtengo kwa odwala m'maiko ena. M'misika yogulitsa mankhwala, mwayi wochulukirapo wopeza njira zamankhwala komanso kuchuluka kwa ndalama zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito pamankhwala zimakhala ndi zotsatira zabwino pazaumoyo.
Misika Yotukuka
Kugwiritsa ntchito mankhwala m'misika yotukuka kudakula pa ~ 4% CAGR pakati pa 2014-19, ndipo akuti ikukula pafupifupi 2-5% CAGR kuti ifike US $ 985-1015 Biliyoni pofika 2024. Misika iyi idafikira ~ 66% yazamankhwala padziko lonse lapansi.
ndalama mu 2019, ndipo akuyembekezeka kuwerengera ~ 63% ya ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi pofika 2024.
USA Pharmaceutical Market
USA ikupitilizabe kukhala msika waukulu kwambiri wamankhwala, akawunti pafupifupi 41% ya ndalama zogulira mankhwala padziko lonse lapansi. Idalemba ~ 4% CAGR ya 2014-19 ndipo ikuyembekezeka kukula pa 3-6% CAGR mpaka US $ 605-635 Biliyoni pofika 2024.
Kukulaku kukuyenera kutsatiridwa makamaka ndi kupanga ndi kukhazikitsidwa kwa mankhwala opangidwa mwaluso, koma pang'ono pang'onopang'ono kutha kwa ma patent amankhwala omwe alipo kale komanso njira zochepetsera mtengo za omwe amalipira.
Misika yaku Western Europe (WE5).
Kugwiritsa ntchito mankhwala m'misika isanu yapamwamba yaku Western Europe (WE5) ikuyembekezeka kukula pafupifupi 3-6% CAGR mpaka US $ 210-240 Biliyoni pofika 2024. Kukhazikitsidwa kwazinthu zapadera zazaka zatsopano kudzayendetsa kukula uku.
Njira zoyendetsera mitengo zotsogozedwa ndi boma zowongolera kupezeka kwa odwala zitha kukhala ngati a
mphamvu yolimbana ndi kukula uku.
Msika waku Japan wamankhwala
Msika wamankhwala waku Japan ukuyembekezeka kujambula kukula kosalekeza pakati pa 2019-24 mpaka pafupifupi US $ 88 Biliyoni.
Mfundo zabwino za boma zikubweretsa kukwera kwa kugwiritsidwa ntchito kwa ma generic, komanso kutsika kwamitengo yamankhwala nthawi ndi nthawi. Izi zithandizira kupulumutsa ndalama pazamankhwala, kuchepetsa kukula kwamakampani ngakhale kupangidwa kwatsopano.
Ma Market Market
Kugwiritsa ntchito mankhwala m'misika yogulitsa mankhwala kudakula pa ~ 7% CAGR nthawi ya 2014-19 mpaka US $ 358 Biliyoni. Misika yanu inali ndi ~ 28% ya ndalama zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito padziko lonse lapansi mu 2019 ndi
Akuyembekezeka kuwerengera 30-31% ya ndalama pofika 2024.
Misika yogulitsa mankhwala ikuyenera kupitiliza kulembetsa kukula mwachangu kuposa misika yotukuka, ndi 5-8% CAGR mpaka 2024, ngakhale yotsika kuposa 7% CAGR yolembedwa mu 2014-19.
Kukula m'misika yogulitsa malonda kudzayendetsedwa ndi ma voliyumu apamwamba amtundu wamtundu komanso wangwiro chibadwa mankhwala motsogozedwa ndi kuchulukitsa mwayi pakati pa anthu. Zina zaposachedwa
mankhwala opangidwa mwatsopano akuyembekezeka kukhazikitsidwa m'misika iyi, koma chifukwa cha kukwera kwamitengo yotere, kutengeka kwake kungakhale kochepa.
Indian pharmaceutical industry
Makampani opanga mankhwala aku India ndi amodzi mwa omwe akuchulukirachulukira, padziko lonse lapansi, komanso omwe amatumiza kunja kwambiri mankhwala amtundu uliwonse potengera kuchuluka kwake. Msika wakunyumba waku India walemba ~ 9.5% CAGR mu 2014-19 kuti ifike $ 22 Biliyoni ndipo ikuyembekezeka kukula pa 8-11% CAGR mpaka US $ 31-35 Biliyoni pofika 2024.
India ili ndi mwayi wapadera wopereka mankhwala ofunikira pogwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo waukadaulo, kutsika mtengo kwa ogwira ntchito komanso kuthekera kopanga zinthu zabwino.
mankhwala motsatira miyezo yapadziko lonse lapansi. Idzapitilizabe kukhala wofunikira kwambiri pamsika wapadziko lonse lapansi wamagetsi.
Mankhwala apadera
Kukula kwakufunika kwamankhwala apadera kwapangitsa kuti pakhale kukwera kwamitengo yamankhwala padziko lonse lapansi m'zaka khumi zapitazi, makamaka m'misika yotukuka.
Mankhwala apadera amagwiritsidwa ntchito pochiza matenda osachiritsika, ovuta kapena osowa, omwe amafunikira kafukufuku wapamwamba komanso waluso (mankhwala a biologic amatenda osatha,
mankhwala a immunology, chithandizo cha matenda a ana amasiye, jini ndi ma cell therapy, pakati pa ena).
Mankhwalawa apanga kusiyana kwakukulu pazotsatira za odwala. Poganizira zakukwera kwamitengo, zambiri mwazinthuzi zitha kukhala m'misika yokhala ndi njira zolipirira zolimba.
M'zaka khumi, kuyambira 2009 mpaka 2019, zopereka zamtengo wapatali pazamankhwala padziko lonse lapansi zidakwera kuchoka pa 21% mpaka 36%. Kuphatikiza apo, m'misika yotukuka, zopereka zidakwera kuchoka pa 23% mpaka 44%, pomwe m'misika yogulitsa malonda, zidakula kuchoka pa 11% mpaka 14% pofika 2019.
Kutenga kwa mankhwalawa kukuchedwa m'misika yogulitsa malonda chifukwa chosowa kapena kuperewera kwa inshuwaransi yamankhwala kwa anthu ambiri. Kukula kukuyembekezeka kupitilirabe pomwe zinthu zina zapadera zikupangidwa ndikugulitsidwa pazosowa zachipatala zomwe sizinakwaniritse.
Akuyenera kuwerengera 40% ya ndalama zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito padziko lonse lapansi pofika chaka cha 2024, ndikukula kwachangu kwambiri komwe kukuyembekezeka kukhala m'misika yotukuka, pomwe zopereka zazinthu zapadera zitha kuwoloka 50% pofika 2024.
Oncology, matenda a autoimmune ndi immune immunology ndiye magawo akulu m'malo, ndipo mwina atsala pang'ono kukulitsa kukula mu nthawi ya 2019-2024.
Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (API)
Msika wapadziko lonse wa API ukuyembekezeka kufika pafupifupi $232 Biliyoni pofika 2024, ukukula pa CAGR pafupifupi 6%. Zomwe zimayambitsa izi ndi kuchuluka kwa matenda opatsirana komanso matenda osatha.
Kufunika kumayendetsedwa ndi kugwiritsidwa ntchito popanga ma formulations mu
anti-infectives, shuga, mtima, analgesics ndi magawo owongolera ululu. Chinthu chinanso ndikukula kwa kugwiritsa ntchito ma API m'mapangidwe atsopano kuti atsatire njira zochizira monga immunology, oncology, biologics ndi mankhwala amasiye.
Ogula zaumoyo
Zogulitsa pazaumoyo za ogula sizifuna kuuzidwa ndi akatswiri azachipatala ndipo zitha kugulidwa ku Over The Counter (OTC) ku sitolo yogulitsa mankhwala. Kukula kwa msika wapadziko lonse wa OTC padziko lonse lapansi kunali pafupifupi $141.5 Biliyoni mchaka cha 2019, ndikuwonetsa kukula kwa 3.9% kuposa 2018.
Akuyembekezeka kukula pa 4.3% CAGR kufikira ~ $ 175 Biliyoni pofika 2024. Kukwera kwa ndalama zomwe ogula amawononga komanso kuwononga ndalama pazaumoyo ndi zinthu zaukhondo ndizinthu zazikulu zomwe zingalimbikitse kukula kwa msika wazinthu zathanzi za OTC.
Odwala odziwa bwino masiku ano amakhulupirira kutenga zisankho zabwino zachipatala ndipo akugwira ntchito yosamalira zaumoyo pogwiritsa ntchito zida zamakono. Kugwiritsa ntchito
mwayi wodziwa zambiri mosadodometsedwa, wogula akugwiritsa ntchito kukula mphamvu, zomwe zimapangitsa kuti pakhale magawo atsopano amsika ndi mitundu yatsopano yazaumoyo.
